The two semi-finals were expected to provide two different types of matches and both expectations were fully met.
Semi-final I – Sri Lanka vs New Zealand
On current form, New Zealand had overachieved in reaching the semi-final. After producing the upset of the tournament by humbling South Africa, they were unlikely to produce a repeat performance on the trot. Sri Lanka on the other hand were waiting for New Zealand (SL had beaten NZ by 10 wickets in the league game) and the real fear was that another mismatch would leave fans (both NZ and SL) disappointed. Sri Lanka had been clinical in dispatching England in the quarter-finals but would have been a little cautious of New Zealand's David vs Goliath characteristics.
New Zealand did themselves a favour by winning the toss and electing to bat as chasing at the Premadasa has traditionally been more difficult, however their batting again let them down and they could finally post a total of only 217. All of their top order batsmen got starts but none other than Scott Styris were able to cross 50. The lower half went in search of quick runs and though New Zealand did post 217 on the board, it was unlikely to test Sri Lanka, however memories of the New Zealand vs South Africa match would have been fresh in both teams' minds.
Sri Lanka started their chase cautiously, however Tharanga was starting to get away and hit some boundaries. New Zealand got aggressive on the field and words were exchanged. This probably got to Tharanga and he got out to a great catch by Jesse Ryder diving horizontally. Sangakarra arrived at the crease and he and Dilshan continued serenely. The run-rate was never a problem and the target was slowly but surely being whittled down. After their 100 run partnership, Dilshan was itching to have a go at the bowling and got a couple of pull shots going. However he perished soon after in trying to clear the mid-wicket fence. Everything still looked hunky dory for Sri Lanka, however Jayawardena had an off day and was out LBW to Vettori. It was up to Sangakarra to see them through and he seemed to sense it. He had Samaraweera for company with Silva and Mathews yet to come and less than 60 runs to get. A strange aspect of the New Zealand bowling was that Andy McKay had not only not been given the new ball but was brought in to bowl only around the 20th over. Given that he was New Zealand's fastest bowler it was a little hard to understand. McKay had now been bowling well and was keeping the batsmen quiet. He dug one in short outside the offstump to Sangakarra, who tried to play the 'Upar' cut a la Sehwag and Tendulkar. Unfortunately he got a thick outside edge and the ball ballooned nicely to Styris at third man.
Vision of the South Africa match now started rising in the minds of both New Zealand and Sri Lanka and when Silva was bowled by Southee, it looked like New Zealand were just a wicket away from causing another upset. Mathews (the Yusuf Pathan of Sri Lanka) held his nerve and though he was injured and had Jayawardena running for him, hit some big blows to take Sri Lanka home. The last 10 overs were quite tense and Sri Lanka would have been happy to escape with a win. Sangakarra (rightly) did not sound very happy at the post-match presentation and blamed himself and Dilshan for not seeing the match through. New Zealand were not disgraced and on current form this was probably the best they could have hoped for.
The only weakness to Sri Lanka's game seems to be in chasing and with the middle order not having to do much through the tournament, it offers their opponents the only window of opportunity. The Sri Lanka bowling is spoiled for riches and Mendis and Herath had a good game against New Zealand.
Semi-final II – India vs Pakistan
You would have to be on another planet to not realise that there was an India Pakistan game on Wednesday. The news media was in its element and the poor viewer was left wondering whether this was a game that was being discussed or had war broken out. With the Prime Ministers of both countries also in attendance it seemed that cricket was the last thing on anyone's mind! It was a wonder that both teams managed to retain their equilibrium and the actual match was played without any incidents on or off the field.
Afridi retained the same squad that beat West Indies (Shoaib Akhtar having missed out and now effectively has ended his career since he had already announced his retirement) but Dhoni sprang a surprise by preferring Nehra over Ashwin. Both choices were slammed by pundits on both sides of the fence, however it was clear that these were the teams that Afridi and Dhoni wanted. Dhoni won the toss and elected to bat, playing to India's strength and potentially to Pakistan's weakness (as teams usually come under increased pressure as they chase).
India started in whirlwind fashion with Sehwag singling out Umar Gul for punishment. Gul had been Pakistan's best bowler in the World Cup, however in the early overs he completely lost his line and was repeatedly hit for fours on both sides of the wicket by Sehwag. Tendulkar was also looking steady and it seemed that Pakistan were in for a real leather hunt. Against the run of play Sehwag was caught in front by Wahab Riaz and even a UDRS review could not help him and he walked back to the pavilion without even completing 50. Tendulkar and Gambhir settled down and Tendulkar played a couple of good drives and seemed in good touch. However this was short lived as the introduction of spin in the form of Ajmal and Hafeez caused both Tendulkar and Gambhir to be all at sea. Tendulkar in particular seemed to be having all kinds of problems and when the umpire upheld a confident shout for LBW off Ajmal it seemed that it was all over for India. However the UDRS which had deserted Sehwag came to Tendulkar's rescue with the ball trajectory being shown as missing leg stump. Having got a reprieve, Tendulkar stretched to meet the next ball and Kamran Akmal for once made no mistake with the stumping. A TV replay was called for and while it seemed that Tendulkar's foot may have been in the air, it was inconclusive with the benefit of doubt being given to the batsman. Not satisfied with these two lucky breaks, Tendulkar rubbed salt in the wounds of Pakistan by offering four more catches before finally getting out for 85. I have never seen Tendulkar play so badly (probably the other times he was playing badly he got out at the first opportunity so the bad form was rarely on display like yesterday) and struggle so much against bowling which though good was definitely not menacing.
While all this was going on, Gambhir waltzed down the pitch to be stumped and Kohli could not keep a cut shot down and hit straight to Umar Akmal. Wahab Riaz now produced the ball of the match by yorking Yuvraj first up and India were in deep trouble at 141-4. Tendulkar and Dhoni left within a span of 20 runs and India were in real danger of being bowled out before their 50 overs were used up. Raina played sensibly and with some support from Harbhajan and Zaheer, the total crossed 250 and eventually reached 260. Ironically this was what Australia had scored against India in the quarter-final in a losing cause. Given the hold the Pakistani spinners had on the Indian batsmen it seemed that Nehra's selection was going to boomerang on Dhoni.
Pakistan started steadily and though Kamran Akmal got out early, both Hafeez and Shafiq did not look in any trouble. The run-rate was around the four and half mark and it looked like Pakistan were in cruise control mode. Munaf Patel was bowling with his usual consistency and probably this was construed as predictability by Hafeez. He tried a pre-meditated scoop over fine-leg, however the ball was wider than he thought and it took the outside edge for Dhoni to complete the catch. The next phase of play was inexplicable as between Kamran and Umar Akmal the rest of the Pakistan batsmen scored a collective 142 runs off 200 balls (including Misbah's tortoise crawl in the early part of his innings). The slow run-rate by itself could have been dealt with, however Pakistan was also losing wickets regularly and finally the last few batsmen were left with a task which was beyond them. The Indian bowling in the middle overs was restrictive and all bowlers played their parts well. Yuvraj was used as a proper fifth bowler and after a very long time, India used only five bowlers to bowl the 50 overs.
Ultimately it was pressure and bad planning that let the Pakistan chase falter after their fielding display in the first innings had cost them 50 extra runs from Tendulkar. The MoM award to Tendulkar was a travesty (you can't reward bad batting, even if it is by Tendulkar) and Wahab Riaz was ignored despite having a standout bowling performance. Is it a rule somewhere that the MoM has to be from the winning team ? Nehra bowling well made his selection look like a master-stroke however the fact was that the wicket was more conducive to spin than pace. India fielded and bowled much above their standard for the rest of the tournament and one hopes that they are able to manage one more such effort for the final.
Finals prediction:
India will win, primarily because of home advantage. If Sri Lanka bat first, then it is likely to be a closer contest. Sehwag is due for a big score and is likely to reserve it for the final.
All my earlier predictions have come true, except for the New Zealand vs South Africa match and that I had predicted a closer contest in the England vs Sri Lanka quarter-final !
On to Super Saturday and one hopes to see a game worthy of a final.
Semi-final I – Sri Lanka vs New Zealand
On current form, New Zealand had overachieved in reaching the semi-final. After producing the upset of the tournament by humbling South Africa, they were unlikely to produce a repeat performance on the trot. Sri Lanka on the other hand were waiting for New Zealand (SL had beaten NZ by 10 wickets in the league game) and the real fear was that another mismatch would leave fans (both NZ and SL) disappointed. Sri Lanka had been clinical in dispatching England in the quarter-finals but would have been a little cautious of New Zealand's David vs Goliath characteristics.
New Zealand did themselves a favour by winning the toss and electing to bat as chasing at the Premadasa has traditionally been more difficult, however their batting again let them down and they could finally post a total of only 217. All of their top order batsmen got starts but none other than Scott Styris were able to cross 50. The lower half went in search of quick runs and though New Zealand did post 217 on the board, it was unlikely to test Sri Lanka, however memories of the New Zealand vs South Africa match would have been fresh in both teams' minds.
Sri Lanka started their chase cautiously, however Tharanga was starting to get away and hit some boundaries. New Zealand got aggressive on the field and words were exchanged. This probably got to Tharanga and he got out to a great catch by Jesse Ryder diving horizontally. Sangakarra arrived at the crease and he and Dilshan continued serenely. The run-rate was never a problem and the target was slowly but surely being whittled down. After their 100 run partnership, Dilshan was itching to have a go at the bowling and got a couple of pull shots going. However he perished soon after in trying to clear the mid-wicket fence. Everything still looked hunky dory for Sri Lanka, however Jayawardena had an off day and was out LBW to Vettori. It was up to Sangakarra to see them through and he seemed to sense it. He had Samaraweera for company with Silva and Mathews yet to come and less than 60 runs to get. A strange aspect of the New Zealand bowling was that Andy McKay had not only not been given the new ball but was brought in to bowl only around the 20th over. Given that he was New Zealand's fastest bowler it was a little hard to understand. McKay had now been bowling well and was keeping the batsmen quiet. He dug one in short outside the offstump to Sangakarra, who tried to play the 'Upar' cut a la Sehwag and Tendulkar. Unfortunately he got a thick outside edge and the ball ballooned nicely to Styris at third man.
Vision of the South Africa match now started rising in the minds of both New Zealand and Sri Lanka and when Silva was bowled by Southee, it looked like New Zealand were just a wicket away from causing another upset. Mathews (the Yusuf Pathan of Sri Lanka) held his nerve and though he was injured and had Jayawardena running for him, hit some big blows to take Sri Lanka home. The last 10 overs were quite tense and Sri Lanka would have been happy to escape with a win. Sangakarra (rightly) did not sound very happy at the post-match presentation and blamed himself and Dilshan for not seeing the match through. New Zealand were not disgraced and on current form this was probably the best they could have hoped for.
The only weakness to Sri Lanka's game seems to be in chasing and with the middle order not having to do much through the tournament, it offers their opponents the only window of opportunity. The Sri Lanka bowling is spoiled for riches and Mendis and Herath had a good game against New Zealand.
Semi-final II – India vs Pakistan
You would have to be on another planet to not realise that there was an India Pakistan game on Wednesday. The news media was in its element and the poor viewer was left wondering whether this was a game that was being discussed or had war broken out. With the Prime Ministers of both countries also in attendance it seemed that cricket was the last thing on anyone's mind! It was a wonder that both teams managed to retain their equilibrium and the actual match was played without any incidents on or off the field.
Afridi retained the same squad that beat West Indies (Shoaib Akhtar having missed out and now effectively has ended his career since he had already announced his retirement) but Dhoni sprang a surprise by preferring Nehra over Ashwin. Both choices were slammed by pundits on both sides of the fence, however it was clear that these were the teams that Afridi and Dhoni wanted. Dhoni won the toss and elected to bat, playing to India's strength and potentially to Pakistan's weakness (as teams usually come under increased pressure as they chase).
India started in whirlwind fashion with Sehwag singling out Umar Gul for punishment. Gul had been Pakistan's best bowler in the World Cup, however in the early overs he completely lost his line and was repeatedly hit for fours on both sides of the wicket by Sehwag. Tendulkar was also looking steady and it seemed that Pakistan were in for a real leather hunt. Against the run of play Sehwag was caught in front by Wahab Riaz and even a UDRS review could not help him and he walked back to the pavilion without even completing 50. Tendulkar and Gambhir settled down and Tendulkar played a couple of good drives and seemed in good touch. However this was short lived as the introduction of spin in the form of Ajmal and Hafeez caused both Tendulkar and Gambhir to be all at sea. Tendulkar in particular seemed to be having all kinds of problems and when the umpire upheld a confident shout for LBW off Ajmal it seemed that it was all over for India. However the UDRS which had deserted Sehwag came to Tendulkar's rescue with the ball trajectory being shown as missing leg stump. Having got a reprieve, Tendulkar stretched to meet the next ball and Kamran Akmal for once made no mistake with the stumping. A TV replay was called for and while it seemed that Tendulkar's foot may have been in the air, it was inconclusive with the benefit of doubt being given to the batsman. Not satisfied with these two lucky breaks, Tendulkar rubbed salt in the wounds of Pakistan by offering four more catches before finally getting out for 85. I have never seen Tendulkar play so badly (probably the other times he was playing badly he got out at the first opportunity so the bad form was rarely on display like yesterday) and struggle so much against bowling which though good was definitely not menacing.
While all this was going on, Gambhir waltzed down the pitch to be stumped and Kohli could not keep a cut shot down and hit straight to Umar Akmal. Wahab Riaz now produced the ball of the match by yorking Yuvraj first up and India were in deep trouble at 141-4. Tendulkar and Dhoni left within a span of 20 runs and India were in real danger of being bowled out before their 50 overs were used up. Raina played sensibly and with some support from Harbhajan and Zaheer, the total crossed 250 and eventually reached 260. Ironically this was what Australia had scored against India in the quarter-final in a losing cause. Given the hold the Pakistani spinners had on the Indian batsmen it seemed that Nehra's selection was going to boomerang on Dhoni.
Pakistan started steadily and though Kamran Akmal got out early, both Hafeez and Shafiq did not look in any trouble. The run-rate was around the four and half mark and it looked like Pakistan were in cruise control mode. Munaf Patel was bowling with his usual consistency and probably this was construed as predictability by Hafeez. He tried a pre-meditated scoop over fine-leg, however the ball was wider than he thought and it took the outside edge for Dhoni to complete the catch. The next phase of play was inexplicable as between Kamran and Umar Akmal the rest of the Pakistan batsmen scored a collective 142 runs off 200 balls (including Misbah's tortoise crawl in the early part of his innings). The slow run-rate by itself could have been dealt with, however Pakistan was also losing wickets regularly and finally the last few batsmen were left with a task which was beyond them. The Indian bowling in the middle overs was restrictive and all bowlers played their parts well. Yuvraj was used as a proper fifth bowler and after a very long time, India used only five bowlers to bowl the 50 overs.
Ultimately it was pressure and bad planning that let the Pakistan chase falter after their fielding display in the first innings had cost them 50 extra runs from Tendulkar. The MoM award to Tendulkar was a travesty (you can't reward bad batting, even if it is by Tendulkar) and Wahab Riaz was ignored despite having a standout bowling performance. Is it a rule somewhere that the MoM has to be from the winning team ? Nehra bowling well made his selection look like a master-stroke however the fact was that the wicket was more conducive to spin than pace. India fielded and bowled much above their standard for the rest of the tournament and one hopes that they are able to manage one more such effort for the final.
Finals prediction:
India will win, primarily because of home advantage. If Sri Lanka bat first, then it is likely to be a closer contest. Sehwag is due for a big score and is likely to reserve it for the final.
All my earlier predictions have come true, except for the New Zealand vs South Africa match and that I had predicted a closer contest in the England vs Sri Lanka quarter-final !
On to Super Saturday and one hopes to see a game worthy of a final.